Category Archives: Archive

Supply Chains and Tariff Rates: The Impact of Reversing NAFTA

Terrie Walmsley and Peter Minor presented “Supply Chains and Tariff Rates: The Impact of Reversing NAFTA” at the USITC on Thursday, February 23.

Since the North-American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) entered into force in 1994, production within the three NAFTA countries has become more specialized as foreign direct investment and trade have been allowed to thrive and firms have taken advantage of economies of scale and lower wages in Mexico. Extensive regional supply chains for producing motor vehicles, chemicals, wearing apparel, among other commodities have emerged. Continue reading

Willingness to Pay method presented at 2016 Conference on Global Economic Analysis

ImpactECON Director, Dr. Walmsley presented a paper outlining a new willingness to pay method at the 19th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis hosted by the World Bank. The new method was incorporated into a global supply chain model and contrasted with the traditional iceberg method used for examining non-tariff measures. The new willingness to pay method results in larger gains to trade and increased prices through an increase in demand, while the iceberg effect lowers prices through a productivity gain. The new willingness to pay method is documented in working paper #04 of the ImpactECON working paper series.

ImpactECON Awarded EU Parliament Framework Contract

ImpactECON, with Copenhagen Economics, was awarded a European Parliament framework contract, for: “Impact Assessment and European Added Value: Development and International Trade Economics.” Award number: EPRS/IMPT/SER/14/013.

New Working Paper Series

ImpactECON introduces new working paper series focused on adapting, testing and transitioning academic work for practical, real world use. The end goal is to improve CGE modeling with emphasis on policy and investment analysis through improvements to data and modeling constructs. Working papers on the MyGTAP model, capital-labor substitution, modeling willingness to pay and the GTAP data base can be found under resources.

Impact of Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement

Analysis for New Zealand’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT) examines benefits of Trans-Pacific Partnership program for New Zealand and partner economies. The analysis was done in partnership with New Zealand researchers Anna Strutt, University of Waikato, and Allen Rae, Massey University.

Potential Scenarios for Growth in Vietnam

Research on potential scenarios for growth in Vietnam used in a Government-World Bank joint report on future growth in Vietnam. The “Vietnam 2035” report, released in Hanoi on February 16, 2016, recommended that Vietnam build a more competitive private sector, support smart urbanization, promote innovation, and take advantage of increasing trade opportunities to enact broad structural reforms. Research conducted by ImpactECON, using a dynamic global CGE model, examined Vietnam’s growth prospects in light of State-owned enterprise reform and the Trans-Pacific Partnership agreement. Read ImpactECON’s report here: Vietnam 2035 ImpactECON

World Bank Vietnam 2035 Report Delivered.  Photo: Chau Doan--World Bank Group.

World Bank Vietnam 2035 Report Delivered. Photo: Chau Doan–World Bank Group

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